Multifractal Characteristics of China’s Stock Market and Slump’s Fractal Prediction
نویسندگان
چکیده
It is necessary to quantitatively describe or illustrate the characteristics of abnormal stock price fluctuations in order prevent and control financial risks. This paper studies fractal structure China’s market by calculating dimension scaling behavior on timeline its eight big slumps, results show that slumps have multifractal characteristics, which are correlated with policy intervention, institutional arrangements, investors’ rationality. The empirical findings a perfect match anomalous features prices. dimensions collapses between 0.84 0.98. distribution sensitive conditions active degree speculative trading. more mature risk-averse investors correspond higher fall less deep. Therefore, could reflect evolution investment philosophy. parameter set calculated this be used as an effective tool foresee horizon.
منابع مشابه
Multifractal geometry in stock market time series
It has been recently noticed that time series of returns in stock markets are of multifractal (multiscaling) character. In that context, multifractality has been always evidenced by its statistical signature (i.e., the scaling exponents associated to a related variable). However, a direct geometrical framework, much more revealing about the underlying dynamics, is possible. In this paper, we pr...
متن کاملFractal Profit Landscape of the Stock Market
We investigate the structure of the profit landscape obtained from the most basic, fluctuation based, trading strategy applied for the daily stock price data. The strategy is parameterized by only two variables, p and q Stocks are sold and bought if the log return is bigger than p and less than -q, respectively. Repetition of this simple strategy for a long time gives the profit defined in the ...
متن کاملStock Market Analysis and Prediction
Stock market analysis is a widely studied problem as it offers practical applications for signal processing and predictive methods and a tangible financial reward. Creating a system that yields consistent returns is extremely challenging and is currently an open problem as stock market prices are extremely volatile and vary widely both within a given stock and comparatively amongst many stocks....
متن کاملMultifractal behavior of the Korean stock-market index KOSPI
We investigate multifractality in the Korean stock-market index KOSPI. The generalized qth order height-height correlation function shows multiscaling properties. There are two scaling regimes with a crossover time around tc = 40 min. We consider the original data sets and the modified data sets obtained by removing the daily jumps, which occur due to the difference between the closing index an...
متن کاملSelf-organized river basin landscapes: Fractal and multifractal characteristics
In recent years a new theory of the evolution of drainage networks and associated landscapes has emerged, mainly in connection with the development of fractal geometry and of self-organized criticality (SOC) concepts. This theory has much improved our understanding of the mechanisms which determine the structure of natural landscapes and their dynamics of evolution. In the first part of this pa...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Fractal and fractional
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2504-3110']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract6090499